Naren Ramakrishnan, Chang-Tien Lu, Madhav Marathe, Achla Marathe, Anil Vullikanti, Stephen Eubank, Scotland Leman, Michael Roan, John S. Brownstein, Kristen Summers, Lise Getoor, Aravind Srinivasan, Tanzeem Choudhury, Dipak Gupta, David Mares, "Model-Based Forecasting of Significant Societal Events", IEEE Intelligent Systems, vol.30, no. 5, pp. 86-90, Sept.-Oct. 2015, doi:10.1109/MIS.2015.74

Abstract: The authors discuss Embers's design, system architecture, and user interface and compare its forecasts to a master set of events called the gold standard report.